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Automotive Engineering ›› 2022, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (9): 1318-1326.doi: 10.19562/j.chinasae.qcgc.2022.09.003

Special Issue: 智能网联汽车技术专题-规划&控制2022年

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Surrounding Multi-Target Trajectory Prediction Method Based on Monocular Visual Motion Estimation

Zihao Wang1,Yingfeng Cai1(),Hai Wang2,Long Chen1,Xiaoxia Xiong2   

  1. 1.Automotive Engineering Research Institute,Jiangsu University,Zhenjiang  212013
    2.School of Automotive and Traffic Engineering,Jiangsu University,Zhenjiang  212013
  • Received:2022-02-09 Revised:2022-03-29 Online:2022-09-25 Published:2022-09-21
  • Contact: Yingfeng Cai E-mail:caicaixiao0304@126.com

Abstract:

Based on a low-cost monocular visual perception system, a multi-target trajectory prediction method considering the influence of vehicle motion is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the ego vehicle motion estimation model composed of the depth estimation network and the position and orientation estimation network is established to achieve effective calculation of ego vehicle visual odometer in image sequence. Then, a prediction model is built by using the historical position and orientation sequences of ego vehicle, and a normalization processing on the historical positions of surrounding targets is fulfilled under the current perspective of ego vehicle camera. Finally, the prediction network is constructed based on the historical trajectory information and regional image information to realize the effective prediction of surrounding multi-target trajectories around intelligent vehicles. The innovation points of this paper are combining visual SLAM method with trajectory predictive model and putting forward the new motion estimation model and ConvLSTM-based multi-target trajectory predictive network. The model proposed overcomes the adverse influence of existing research on the trajectory prediction accuracy of the surrounding target caused by ignoring the ego vehicle motion state, and achieves a better prediction results under the condition of using monocular vision perception only. The results of test on public data sets show that with a prediction time step of 1.5s, the model proposed has a MSEcenter of 321, i.e. a 52% lower than that of the existing baseline model, with an excellent performance also in the long-time-step trajectory prediction in the future.

Key words: intelligent vehicles, trajectory prediction, monocular vision, depth estimation